Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.286128 2.608516 2.960477 3.373326 3.844471 4.365562 4.985893
2025-08-24 1.802705 2.243822 2.768729 3.439785 4.275707 5.283857 6.593991
2025-08-31 1.532206 2.024457 2.645907 3.488883 4.604313 6.032384 8.004287
2025-09-07 1.318546 1.829278 2.506013 3.469628 4.809395 6.610877 9.225595
2025-09-14 1.142957 1.654036 2.360165 3.408820 4.930767 7.066162 10.302835
2025-09-21 1.012907 1.522230 2.252778 3.379346 5.078516 7.555323 11.458559
2025-09-28 0.900732 1.401022 2.143519 3.328556 5.179823 7.974094 12.537306
2025-10-05 0.874588 1.404907 2.217534 3.557000 5.719662 9.092612 14.788422
2025-10-12 0.807051 1.335711 2.170158 3.587356 5.946648 9.739902 16.348061
2025-10-19 0.768055 1.307600 2.183444 3.713709 6.336220 10.676059 18.463214
2025-10-26 0.705218 1.232938 2.112473 3.690722 6.470370 11.196938 19.917705
2025-11-02 0.649726 1.165018 2.045677 3.666635 6.596855 11.710308 21.399371
2025-11-09 0.588723 1.085620 1.958792 3.611914 6.687884 12.212332 22.994215
2025-11-16 0.552111 1.047251 1.942069 3.685031 7.024138 13.197927 25.612558
2025-11-23 0.516757 1.006913 1.916711 3.737584 7.324424 14.142795 28.250853
2025-11-30 0.475953 0.951521 1.857044 3.716945 7.479457 14.824038 30.442085
2025-12-07 0.434441 0.890163 1.779375 3.651754 7.537486 15.318285 32.304434
2025-12-14 0.401091 0.841617 1.721748 3.620156 7.658567 15.947150 34.508800
2025-12-21 0.368834 0.791896 1.656639 3.565705 7.724967 16.467589 36.534389
2025-12-28 0.368026 0.808476 1.729506 3.810617 8.454311 18.450821 41.968648
2026-01-04 0.347728 0.780700 1.705910 3.843163 8.721752 19.465096 45.340841
2026-01-11 0.337657 0.774456 1.727889 3.978630 9.232257 21.062518 50.222233
2026-01-18 0.315607 0.738835 1.681628 3.953984 9.372772 21.838771 53.254319